Polymarket Whales This Week: Week 44

From 26 October to 2 November 2026, 1,816 of the 2,685 Polymarket wallets in our whale directory made at least one trade: 926,352 trades worth $263.2 million. Sports took 49% of the money, and politics drew the most wallets in a week with an Israeli election and a Fed meeting. Positions that settled during the week returned +3.5% on the money put in, or +19.2% if you leave out the losing positions nobody redeemed. On Polymarket's weekly profit board, none of the top 10 passed our four checks, and five of them had too many trades for us to measure at all.

The directory is much larger than it was for our week 41 issue, and that issue covered a different seven-day window, so we don't compare totals with it.

How busy were the whales this week?

Two in three directory wallets traded, and a small group of them made most of the volume.

1. 1,816 of 2,685 wallets (68%) traded at least once, making 926,352 trades worth $263.2 million.
2. The 10% of active wallets with the most volume, 181 wallets, made 81.8% of it.
3. 1,014 of the 1,816 active wallets (55.8%) put 90% or more of their volume into one group of markets.
4. Buys of $1,000 or more were 3.8% of all buys and 80.4% of the dollars bought.
5. 53.0% of the dollars bought went in at prices between 30¢ and 70¢.
6. The 204,986 positions that settled returned +3.5% on $311.6 million put in. Leave out the unredeemed losers and it would have been +19.2%.

The median active wallet made 50 trades. A trade here is one fill, a buy or a sell. Two wallets traded so much that we read them only up to our page limit, so the trade count and volume are lower bounds.

Which markets drew the most wallets?

Elections and the Fed. Israel's vote, two Fed rate decisions and the US midterms made up eight of the ten busiest events.

Counting the directory wallets that bought into each event during the week:

Israel voted on 27 October, and three of the ten events hang on that vote. The Fed's October decision drew the most money of the ten. Several of these markets settled inside the week: Polymarket resolved the October Fed markets on 28 October with no change in rates, the Ballon d'Or market to Harry Kane on 27 October, and the most-seats market to Likud on 31 October. On 4 November the prime minister market was still open, and the market on the ceasefire holding through 31 October was still unresolved, with its resolution under dispute.

Who topped the weekly leaderboard, and how did they score?

None of the top 10 passed. Five had too many trades to measure, and the other five each failed at least one check.

We read Polymarket's weekly profit board at 00:40 UTC on 2 November 2026, covering the seven days before it, and ran its top 50 through the four checks on our methodology page: a return of 15% or more, at least 30 settled trades, a worst drawdown of 25% or less, and no more than half the profit from the single best trade.

The board and our checks measure different things. Polymarket's API reference describes the weekly profit as the change in the wallet's marked equity, so open positions count at their current price, and it counts volume in shares. Our checks use the wallet's whole settled history: every position it has closed or seen resolve, from Polymarket's public data. The best-trade figure compares the best settled position with all the winning positions added up, before losses. The drawdown comes from our own replay of the wallet's trades.

googleplay made the most on the board, $3.95 million, though the board doesn't show which positions made its week. Over 103 settled positions and $24.3 million put in, it returned 3.47%. The best of those positions was only 7.01% of its gross gains, yet take that one out and $71,258 of profit is left. googleplay failed our return check, 3.47% against 15%, and passed the other three.

Mooseborzoiii, in tenth, shows the same pattern more starkly: 93 settled positions, $18.2 million put in, a 6.45% return and a worst drawdown of 14.77%. Its best position was 14.02% of its gross gains, and without it the rest of the settled record nets −$90,841. It failed the return check and passed the other three.

monkeymashingkeyboard has the longest record we could measure in the top 10: 1,290 settled positions and $17.4 million put in. Its worst drawdown was 4.38%, its best position 1.72% of gains, and without that position the record still shows $1.09 million of profit. It failed one check, return, at 7.13% against our 15%.

Abkha and eventalpha26 had big weeks with two settled positions each in their whole history. Abkha's two returned 109.19% on $825,356, and one of them carried 83.37% of the gains. eventalpha26's two returned 103.63% on $815,144, with one carrying 89.89%. Both failed our settled-trades check, 2 against 30, and our best-trade check in this sample, and two positions are too few to say much about either wallet.

BreakTheBank, UpTheBlues, jakepaulthegoat2008 and e46m3 had too many trades for us to measure, so they stay unscored and out of the pass-or-fail count. BreakTheBank traded 41.7 million shares in the week and UpTheBlues 40.5 million.

Third place has no username of its own on the board, so we leave it at its rank; it was unscored for the same reason. It made $1.49 million while trading 9,602 shares. A share pays out at most $1, so shares bought during the week could explain at most about $9,600 of that, and the rest came from positions it already held when the week began.

Across the whole top 50, 21 wallets had too many trades to measure. Of the 29 we could measure, 4 passed all four checks, none of them in the top 10. 19 fell short on return, 6 had fewer than 30 settled positions and 6 got more than half their gains from one position; none failed the drawdown check. Three of the 29 had lost money over their whole settled record while sitting on the week's profit board. On the weekly volume board, 38 of the top 50 had too many trades to measure, and none of the other 12 passed.

During the run, 62 market lookups went unanswered and those markets were read as still open, so a check can be off for a wallet that holds one. Neither a board rank nor a check result is a recommendation.

Where did the money go?

Into sports, mostly the NBA, and mostly in buys of $1,000 or more.

Within sports, the NBA took 21.4% of all volume, soccer 11.8%, tennis 5.2%, the NFL 4.4% and college football 2.6%. In esports, League of Legends took 6.6% and Counter-Strike 5.6%. Groups where one wallet held most of the volume, including tech and AI and Dota 2, were folded into Other. Politics drew more wallets than any other group and less than a third of the money sports did.

More than half of all buys were under $10, and they moved 0.6% of the money. Prices sat in the middle: 53.0% of the dollars went in between 30¢ and 70¢, and 23.8% at 90¢ or more.

How did the positions that settled this week end?

+3.5% on $311.6 million put in. Leave out the losers nobody redeemed and it looks like +19.2%.

A position counts as settled in the week when the wallet sold or redeemed it during the week, or when its market ended in the week and the wallet hadn't redeemed it. Positions bought before the week count too. That's why the money settled, $311.6 million, is more than the week's volume, and why 2,065 wallets had a settled position although 1,816 traded.

A winning share is redeemed to collect $1, and a losing share pays nothing, so many losing positions are never redeemed. This week 38,603 settled positions were resolved and still unredeemed, with $42.7 million put in, and 97.2% of them were losses. They are the whole gap between +3.5% and +19.2%.

The bands are grouped by each position's average entry price, wherever in time it was bought. Every band from 70¢ up lost a little as a whole. The under-10¢ band shows how one week can mislead: 16.8% of its positions ended in profit, and the few long shots that won lifted $2.5 million of stakes to +139.6%. One resolved market can swing a band like that, so our 120-day study of 15,371 wallets is a better guide to price bands than any single week.

By market group, sports returned +2.6% on $121.4 million put in, politics +6.8% on $98.7 million, esports +1.0% on $38.6 million, economy −0.4% on $21.7 million and geopolitics +1.3% on $8.3 million. Crypto settled the most positions, 96,014, on $19.5 million, and returned +2.3%.

How big is the whale pool now?

On 2 November: 18,531 wallets collected, 2,685 scored, 208 passing.

Collected means WhaleFinder, the part of Whalidate that finds wallets, has picked the wallet up from Polymarket's public data. Scored means we have read its whole history and replayed it. Passing means it met all four default checks, which 208 of the 2,685 scored wallets did, about one in 13. The scored wallets are the ones in our public directory and in this report, passing or not.

What does this mean if you copy whales?

Look past the board rank. Check what's left without the best position, and count the losers nobody redeemed.

First, take out the wallet's best position and see what remains. A low best-trade share can sit next to a thin net result when wins and losses both run large. googleplay's best position was 7.01% of its gains, and without it $71,258 of profit was left on $24.3 million put in. Mooseborzoiii's was 14.02%, and without it the record went to −$90,841.

Second, when you judge a wallet's return, include the resolved positions it hasn't redeemed. Across the directory this week, they turned +19.2% into +3.5%. A profit figure that adds up only sold and redeemed positions can make a wallet look better than it did.

Our guide to the leaderboard covers what else the board leaves out, and how to copy Polymarket whales walks through picking wallets and exits. Past results don't predict future ones. To see how a set of wallets would work under your own rules, start a strategy on paper first; paper is free on every plan.

Where do these numbers come from?

Polymarket's public data, for all 2,685 wallets in our directory, read on 2 November 2026.

The wallets are every wallet in our public whale directory at 05:00 UTC on 2 November 2026, 2,685 in all, whether they pass our checks or not. None was picked for this report or for its results this week.

The data is Polymarket's public Data API: each wallet's activity, its closed positions and its resolved positions not yet redeemed, from 00:00 UTC on 26 October to 00:00 UTC on 2 November 2026. We read 2,683 wallets in full and two up to our page limit.

Volume is the dollar value of fills. Money in is a position's average entry price times its shares, and return is its profit or loss divided by that. Market groups come from keywords in each market's Polymarket address. Any group where one wallet held most of the volume was folded into Other.

The leaderboard section uses Polymarket's weekly profit board as read at 00:40 UTC on 2 November, so its window starts and ends 40 minutes later than the rest of the report. Its figures come from Polymarket's public positions data, and each wallet's verdict is the one our app gives on the same record. Event outcomes come from Polymarket's market data, read on 4 November 2026.