Polymarket Whales of the Week: Nov 2–8, 2026

None of the top 10 on Polymarket's weekly profit board for November 2 to 8, 2026 passed our four checks. We could score five of them, and all five failed on return; the other five have histories too long for us to score. It was midterm week: the 2,947 wallets in our whale directory put 17.9% of their volume into politics, up from 15.1%, and the positions that settled during the week returned -1.2%. The previous issue covered October 26 to November 1.

Did anyone in the weekly top 10 pass our checks?

No. The five we could score all failed on return, and the other five stayed unscored.

We read the weekly profit board at 00:40 UTC on November 9, covering the seven days before it, and ran each wallet's whole settled history through the four checks on our methodology page: a return of 15% or more, at least 30 settled trades, a worst drawdown of 25% or less, and no more than half the profit from the single best trade. The board counts open positions at their current price. Our checks count only positions that have settled.

First place has no username, so we leave it at its rank. It made 105 trades in four markets this week, and its two biggest buys were still open when we checked on November 10: $999,416 on "No" to the US confirming aliens exist before 2027, at 98¢, and $625,020 at 37¢ on Republicans losing seven named Senate seats from Alaska to Texas. That second market traded at 98.7¢ on November 10. Over its 26 settled positions the wallet has returned -1.82%. UnderperformingForALiving, in tenth, traded the other side of that Senate bet during the week.

S-Works, in seventh, put $862,451 on T1 to win game 2 of its Worlds series against Bilibili Gaming at 99.9¢. T1 won, and the bet stood to make about $860. e46m3, eighth on the board the week before, was second this time with no single market taking more than $31,000 of its buys.

Two wallets made the top 10 with little or no buying. Sixth place made six trades all week, all sales, $443 in total, next to 5,034 redemptions, 4,214 merges and 1,824 conversions. Papeasy bought $92,622 across 9,396 trades, about $10 each, its largest in Bitcoin's five-minute up-or-down markets, and redeemed $1.04 million.

Across the board's top 50, 14 wallets could not be scored, and 2 of the other 36 passed all four checks. During the run, 66 market lookups went unanswered and those markets were read as still open, so a check can be off for a wallet that holds one. A board rank and a check result are not recommendations.

Where did the whales' money go?

Sports kept the biggest share, politics gained in midterm week, and the positions that settled lost 1.2%.

1,838 of the 2,947 directory wallets traded at least once: 1,040,065 trades worth $344.4 million, up from 926,352 trades and $263.2 million from October 26 to November 1. The directory grew by 262 wallets in between, so part of that rise is more wallets.

Inside sports, the NBA fell from 21.4% of all volume to 8.6%, and soccer rose from 11.8% to 19.1%. League of Legends took 9.9% with the Worlds playoffs under way.

Politics drew the most wallets, 930. Nine of the ten events that drew the most directory wallets were midterm markets, led by control of the Senate with 214 wallets and $4.6 million bought. Control of the House drew 134 wallets and the most money of the ten, $8.9 million. Polymarket resolved both to the Democrats on November 4. The tenth was a League of Legends match between Bilibili Gaming and T1, with 137 wallets and $5.9 million.

A position counts as settled in the week when the wallet sold or redeemed it, or when its market ended in the week and it wasn't redeemed. The 220,572 positions that settled returned -1.2% on $364.7 million put in, against +3.5% the week before. That includes 42,520 resolved positions nobody had redeemed, with $50.3 million put in and 98.3% of them losses. Leave those out and the return is +14.2%, against +19.2% a week earlier. By group, sports returned -5.2% on $158.1 million (+2.6% the week before), esports -4.1% on $48.2 million (+1.0%) and politics +5.8% on $124.2 million (+6.8%).

What should you check before copying one of them?

Which of the wallet's bets have settled, and what its whole record looks like next to its week.

First, see which bets behind the week have settled. The board marks open positions at their current price, and the top wallet's two biggest buys were still open on November 10. A copy bought at today's price is a different bet from the one the wallet made at 37¢.

Second, read the whole settled record next to the week. Three of the four top-10 records we have numbers for lost money overall: the top wallet at -1.82%, justwins at -0.51% and milkteaboba at -3.88%. Take out each one's best position and all four are in the red, UnderperformingForALiving included, at -$61,927.

Our guide to the leaderboard covers what else the board leaves out. Past results don't predict future ones. To see how a set of wallets would work under your own rules, start a strategy on paper first.